On the decline of war

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For the past 70 years, there has been a downward trend in the size of wars, but the idea of an enduring “long peace” remains controversial. Michael Spagat discusses the war-size data into units of battle deaths per 100,000 or world population rather than absolute battle deaths – units appropriate for investigating the probability that a random person will die in a war.

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Image courtesy of interviewee

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